Polymarket Trader

VoiceOfReasoning

0x26e81aa1d5f33922b02a60fcdae5cf3c4cbcbc94

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $414
Realized PnL: $210.37
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $295.6
Potential payout: $297.23
Potential profit: $1.63
User PnL: $17.6

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $118.4
Potential payout: $128.69
Potential profit: $10.3
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.68
Potential profit: $9.68
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.45
Potential profit: $8.45
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.82
Potential profit: $6.82
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.19
Potential profit: $5.19
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $3.08
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.84
Potential profit: $2.84
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.43

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.73

No position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.36

No position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $15.73

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.02

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.08

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.72

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $4.55

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

No position

Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 7?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.65

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 90.1% 128.69 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

No 98.4% 118.39 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

No 94.6% 118.4 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 96.3% 184.87 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 32.5% 212.65 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 89% 112.36 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 70.5% 212.65 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 80% 15.63 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 50% 25 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 52% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Down 74% 1.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Down 67% 1.49 shares