0x26e8e7c401B87dAdEB8e000195E97061449D4C39-1781026373542

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.73
Potential profit: $361.73
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 29.3%
Current value: $48.93
Potential payout: $167.27
Potential profit: $118.34
Multiplier: 3.42x
User PnL: $23.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.6
Potential profit: $92.6
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $25.19
Potential payout: $69
Potential profit: $43.82
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $13.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.37
Potential profit: $68.37
User PnL: -$11.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.04
Potential profit: $66.04
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $36.36
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.59
Potential profit: $17.59
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.85
Potential profit: $10.85
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $2.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.85
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.55
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$3.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.74
Potential profit: $7.74
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.81
Potential profit: $4.81
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.92
Potential profit: $3.92
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 70.8%
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $3.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 15?