Polymarket Trader

rubenca

0x26ef71c966080f67ceba9f96a3ef4f87cfd1a7f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.66
Realized PnL: $8.81
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$0.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Crypto Summit on Friday?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

BNK FEARX position

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

BIG position

LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Team Liquid position

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Elon tweet 185–199 times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 64°F or below on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 23–30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Frites Esports Club position

LoL: Frites Esports Club vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 10?

Yes 99.9% 2 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 71% 1.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 18?

No 99.7% 1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 18?

No 99.8% 2 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Vitality 74% 1.34 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 17?

Yes 99.9% 1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 16?

No 99.9% 1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 16?

Yes 99.8% 1 shares
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

BNK FEARX 63% 1.57 shares
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

BIG 63% 1.57 shares
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

Team Liquid 75% 1.32 shares
LoL: FALKE Esports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season

⁠Movistar KOI Fénix 99.7% 1 shares