Polymarket Trader

smetonik

0x26f1e342a2dc688d6084ddc7a55dc3d4fa5a484e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $152.82
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $307.69
Potential profit: $287.69
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.27
Potential profit: $225.27
User PnL: -$61

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $42.3
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $137.7
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.7

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $45.83
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $120.83
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $44.68
Potential payout: $77.04
Potential profit: $32.36
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $3.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

No 53% 77.04 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 27% 166.67 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 6% 100 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 23.8% 41.94 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 180 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 54% 83.33 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 13% 307.69 shares

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