N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $20.28
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Polymarket Trader
harley123
0x26f82ab194c1659b7994d5f90f436176ecf7459c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.95
- Realized PnL
- $129.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $20.8
- Potential profit
- $17.58
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?No 4.9% 21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 9?Yes 18% 20.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?Yes 92% 8.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?Yes 62% 8.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 7?Yes 7% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 7?Yes 11% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 7?Yes 7% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?Yes 47% 1.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?Yes 38% 1.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 7?Yes 7.5% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?Yes 83% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?Yes 32% 8 shares