Polymarket Trader

TheBigMuscle

0x270afb53118b0f5a9d706f4d90b82bb877d27b78

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $23.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.03K
Potential profit: $10.03K
User PnL: -$668.12

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$876.72

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.8K
Potential profit: $8.8K
User PnL: -$782.81

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.05K
Potential profit: $8.05K
User PnL: -$829.36

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.05K
Potential profit: $8.05K
User PnL: -$819.54

Yes position

Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$47

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.68K
Potential profit: $7.68K
User PnL: -$180.53

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.06K
Potential profit: $5.06K
User PnL: -$192.86

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$550

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $4.98K
User PnL: -$45.99

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $4.9K
User PnL: -$151.11

Yes position

Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 11?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $4.6K
User PnL: -$4.78

No position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.51K
Potential profit: $4.51K
User PnL: -$117.05

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
User PnL: -$107.8

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.23K
Potential profit: $4.23K
User PnL: -$76.74

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.21K
Potential profit: $4.21K
User PnL: -$57.39

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.19K
Potential profit: $4.19K
User PnL: -$1.76K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$16.51

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.69K
Potential profit: $3.69K
User PnL: -$56.22

Yes position

Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.62K
Potential profit: $3.62K
User PnL: -$256.34

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $3.21K
User PnL: -$57.74

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.06K
Potential profit: $3.06K
User PnL: -$77.44

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.12K

Yes position

Will Wisconsin be the closest state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

No position

Will the State of the Union be 110 minutes or longer?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

No position

Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?

Ends Jan 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $871.62

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $569.72

No position

Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $490.65

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462.7

Yes position

Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $460

No position

Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420

No position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.38

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.79

No position

Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.6

Gray position

CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $351

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.31

No position

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336.15

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 1,030.52 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 1,030.26 shares
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes 7.8% 174.51 shares
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 74% 404.2 shares
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 74% 1,212.61 shares
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes 9% 57.35 shares
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

No 93% 14 shares
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Yes 53% 9.99 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 18.9% 100 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 81% 37.21 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 18.9% 200 shares
Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?

No 98.8% 20 shares