No position
Claude 4.8 released by June 15?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$70.69
Polymarket Trader
0x2712...eb71
0x271229d5fa9dbef1476e14eedae67fa634c4eb71
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.46K
- Realized PnL
- $1.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 550.0k by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $903.18
- Potential profit
- $903.18
- User PnL
- -$38.45
No position
Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $883.16
- Potential profit
- $883.16
- User PnL
- -$33.93
Yi Sak Lee position
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $772.34
- Potential profit
- $772.34
- User PnL
- -$30
DRX position
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX - Map 1 Winner
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $772.33
- Potential profit
- $772.33
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will SC Recife win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $772.31
- Potential profit
- $772.31
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $772.31
- Potential profit
- $772.31
- User PnL
- -$30
Cincinnati Reds position
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750.3
- Potential profit
- $750.3
- User PnL
- -$24.89
Justin Boulais position
Little Rock: Michael Mmoh vs Justin Boulais
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $745.31
- Potential profit
- $745.31
- User PnL
- -$25.36
No position
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 600.0k by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $723.81
- Potential profit
- $723.81
- User PnL
- -$18
Under position
Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $710.67
- Potential profit
- $710.67
- User PnL
- -$26.22
DN SOOPers position
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $696.22
- Potential profit
- $696.22
- User PnL
- -$22.42
No position
Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $680.06
- Potential profit
- $680.06
- User PnL
- -$37.49
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $583.4
- Potential profit
- $583.4
- User PnL
- -$42.98
N
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $426.77
- Potential payout
- $561.54
- Potential profit
- $134.77
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $299.82
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $558.3
- Potential profit
- $558.3
- User PnL
- -$11.55
N
No position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $266.19
- Potential payout
- $458.94
- Potential profit
- $192.75
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $169.15
N
No position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $245.49
- Potential payout
- $430.76
- Potential profit
- $185.27
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $185.49
N
No position
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $300.91
- Potential payout
- $415.05
- Potential profit
- $114.14
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $200.19
No position
Will Meta (META) close above $620 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $387.48
- Potential profit
- $387.48
- User PnL
- -$21.23
No position
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $66.79
- Potential payout
- $351.54
- Potential profit
- $284.75
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$33.21
No position
Claude 4.8 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $337.13
- Potential profit
- $337.13
- User PnL
- -$13.06
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $89.22
- Potential payout
- $330.43
- Potential profit
- $241.21
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.39
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $68.13
- Potential payout
- $316.9
- Potential profit
- $248.77
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$11.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.31
N
No position
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.96
Under position
Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 1.5
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.02
No position
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.14
No position
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $84.86
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.01
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.52
Under position
Jodar vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.58
Eternal Fire position
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.83
No position
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.24
Dana Charintceva position
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ana Giraldi Requena vs Dana Charintceva
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.59
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.1
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.39
No position
Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $32.12
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.68
Under position
Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 36.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.2
Under position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.6
Filippo Romano position
Birmingham: Clement Chidekh vs Filippo Romano
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.55
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.24
Giles Hussey position
Centurion: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Giles Hussey
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.8
No position
Will Elon Musk attend UFC Freedom 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.71
Sharks position
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.64
Yujia Huang position
ITF Wuning: Priska Madelyn Nugroho vs Yujia Huang
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.79
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?No 99% 68.78 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?No 20% 600 shares
- Will Elon Musk attend UFC Freedom 250?No 99% 0.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No 99.1% 12 shares
- FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?No 99.8% 20 shares
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of June?No 5.9% 166.66 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?No 3.7% 306.24 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 55% 20.82 shares
- Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.3B?No 21% 95.22 shares
- FDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?No 23% 1.29 shares
- Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 30?No 60% 1.78 shares
- Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?No 51% 10.51 shares