Polymarket Trader

workalpha

0x27165a40cd84f12b4f89ff17729baa8dcdfeb593

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.32K
Realized PnL: $102.32
Win rate: 94.7%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $250
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.95

No position

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $241.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $246.87
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $3.13
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $223.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $26.25
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $153.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $96.25
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$3.75

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.7%
Current value: $66.62
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $183.37
Multiplier: 3.75x
User PnL: -$95.87

No position

Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $225
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $25
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $249.99
User PnL: -$154.6

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $241.37
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $8.62
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $156.24
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $93.75
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$30.25

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $184
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $16
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $193.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $6.7
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $135.88
Potential payout: $138.02
Potential profit: $2.14
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $16.54

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $14

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.5

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $9.5

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $7.26

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.7%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $6.83

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

No position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

No position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4

No position

Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.1%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.2%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

No 99% 0.01 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 95% 26.14 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 95.9% 200 shares
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

No 93% 2.15 shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Yes 24% 249.99 shares