Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $8.75K
- Potential payout
- $92.12K
- Potential profit
- $83.37K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.91K
Polymarket Trader
0x271a...5d93
0x271a4ae3e242f4d79429ab553eede1bfc1f65d93
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $8.75K
- Realized PnL
- $7.6K
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.44K
- Potential profit
- $29.44K
- User PnL
- -$3.45K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12K
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$269.34
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.07K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 348.04 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 32,987.9 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 4,433.29 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17% 54,347.76 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?Yes 69.9% 2,808.14 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?Yes 64% 16.44 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?Yes 64% 15 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?Yes 63.3% 547 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?Yes 62.1% 1,542.82 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?Yes 65.7% 368.01 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Yes 60.7% 5,099.71 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Yes 65% 21.84 shares