No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Polymarket Trader
Ria793
0x27260756038fefee0b0a0b048359c9026428573d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $15.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No 97.3% 100 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No 97.2% 17 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 97.1% 110 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 97.2% 95 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 4.3% 204 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 4.3% 361 shares
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 12.6% 368 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 98.2% 14 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 5% 327 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 5.1% 327.97 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 97.5% 17 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 97.5% 101 shares