Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $88
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$26
Polymarket Trader
0x2726e3C5A53A7D807Ae5D6613733cb463d870D0b-1779607074074
0x2726e3c5a53a7d807ae5d6613733cb463d870d0b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.92
- Realized PnL
- $20.66
- Win rate
- 90.9%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $32.58
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$13.9
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.92
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.7% 15 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 99.9% 15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 99.9% 30 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 98.5% 30 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes 92% 10 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Yes 93% 15 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No 88.5% 10 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 93% 14.35 shares
- Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?Yes 98% 13.38 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 86% 10 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?No 97.9% 6 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 83.3% 15 shares