Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.59K
- Potential profit
- $23.59K
- User PnL
- -$2.69K
Polymarket Trader
WindWalk3
0x2728d99b2405a52db60160837e130b3ba3c1a83c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.49M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.27K
- Potential profit
- $21.27K
- User PnL
- -$2.03K
Yes position
Will another candidate get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$1.75
No position
Will Trump win Mississippi by 20+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.12
- Potential profit
- $6.12
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18M
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.9K
Yes position
Caroline Ellison sentenced to 24-35 months in prison?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.46K
No position
Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.25K
No position
Will Trump win 30% of Black men?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82K
No position
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
Kamala mentions McDonald’s again before debate?
Ends Sep 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?
Ends Oct 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will Trump say "Tesla" during Michigan rally on October 18?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Will Trump say "Dark MAGA" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?
Ends Oct 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $772.24
No position
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $702.3
No position
Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $679.79
No position
Will J.D. Vance say "fentanyl" during Pennsylvania rally?
Ends Aug 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $572.94
No position
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during Michigan rally on October 18?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560
No position
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $549.89
Yes position
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.98
No position
'Speak No Evil' grosses >$13m opening weekend?
Ends Sep 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.58
No position
Will Kamala win 60% of college graduates?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.01
Yes position
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1-1.4 on Oct 18?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $450
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No 92% 57,730.3 shares
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No 94% 2,000 shares
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No 93% 2,000 shares
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No 50% 8,710.95 shares
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No 50% 988 shares
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No 49.9% 7,275.56 shares
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No 48.9% 6,563.63 shares
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No 45.8% 4,551.66 shares
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No 47% 390.97 shares
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No 49% 30 shares
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No 50% 126 shares
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No 47.2% 26,956.05 shares