No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $297.6
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Polymarket Trader
lionsix
@polymarket10518
0x272b6c457993deef94aab630b9c1c2413f13e303
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.08K
- Realized PnL
- $391.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $199.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $148.88
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $95.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$3.35
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $99.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $96.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $79.42
- Potential payout
- $87.76
- Potential profit
- $8.34
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $59.67
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Solana above $130 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.54
Phillies position
Phillies vs. Braves
Ends Jul 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- $17.06
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.06
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2
No position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
No position
Will Berachain launch a token in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.12
No position
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.81
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
No position
Meteora FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?
Ends Aug 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 99.5% 100 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 100 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 99.5% 60 shares
- Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No 99.3% 300 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?No 98.9% 100 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 88.7% 50 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 99% 150 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 16?No 99.7% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 16?No 99.3% 109.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?No 99.5% 300 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 16?No 98.3% 300 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on June 16?No 99% 110 shares