Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
Diplopia2
@_Diplopia_
0x272c7b12c4b372b6d0931aed641b1e4eec0f7f07
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $375.9
- Realized PnL
- $4.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $993.5
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $997.2
- Potential profit
- $997.2
- User PnL
- -$33.9
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $795.2
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$43.2
Yes position
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $10.35
- Potential payout
- $667.9
- Potential profit
- $657.55
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$22.09
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$18.5
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $34.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $465.5
- Multiplier
- 14.49x
- User PnL
- -$26.9
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $468.49
- Potential profit
- $467.55
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$37.86
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $31.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $368.2
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- $9.4
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $294
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $14.55
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $285.45
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$36.75
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $34.58
- Potential payout
- $276.64
- Potential profit
- $242.06
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$32.71
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $33.75
- Potential payout
- $250.01
- Potential profit
- $216.25
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$9.75
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $7.51
- Potential payout
- $231
- Potential profit
- $223.49
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$61
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $108.66
- Potential payout
- $217.32
- Potential profit
- $108.66
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $45.64
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $6.93
- Potential payout
- $209.9
- Potential profit
- $202.97
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$9.45
Yes position
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.7
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.7
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$11.3
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $16.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $183.9
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Yes position
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$15.4
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $27.3
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $172.69
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $195.39
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $24.94
- Potential payout
- $199.51
- Potential profit
- $174.57
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.65
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.12
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.58
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.68
Yes position
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.15
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.07
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.48
No position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.7
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.5
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.2
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.39
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $104.83
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.25
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.17
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $82.67
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.54
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.5
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $76.26
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $74.2
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $70.55
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $70
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 38% 237.04 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 55% 400 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes 64% 163.7 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?Yes 27% 50 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Yes 85% 115 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Yes 88.9% 855.1 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 11.8% 516.9 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 94% 1,000 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes 17.1% 300 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 29.7% 81 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 7.3% 260 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 29.5% 118.25 shares