No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
Polymarket Trader
serendon
0x273555af22b02cee92067958f0c7f775a24c1e5a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.28
- Realized PnL
- $4.13
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Tigers position
Angels vs. Tigers
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Up position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 23?
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
New Zealand position
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 2)
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on August 27?
Ends Aug 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Trump cut Ukraine off from Starlink?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will 'Magazine Dreams' gross less than 1m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Hawk Tuah OnlyFans by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 97.8% 1.28 shares
- Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No 76% 1.32 shares
- New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 2)New Zealand 78% 1.55 shares
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 23?Up 69% 1.45 shares
- Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes 52.2% 1.92 shares
- Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes 71% 1.92 shares
- Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes 76% 1.92 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down on August 27?Up 79% 1.53 shares
- Angels vs. TigersTigers 75% 2 shares
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder 79% 1.27 shares
- Will Randy Fine win by less than 10%?Yes 0.1% 1.72 shares
- Will Randy Fine win by less than 10%?Yes 65% 1.72 shares