Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.44K
- Potential profit
- $18.44K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Polymarket Trader
hol-div
0x273dbcb143b7759c3ce2b6bac8a511ffa49fd0ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.26K
- Realized PnL
- $6.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.58K
- Potential payout
- $16.62K
- Potential profit
- $15.04K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.64K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.73K
- Potential profit
- $15.73K
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.9%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $8.08K
- Potential profit
- $6.64K
- Multiplier
- 5.59x
- User PnL
- -$3.7K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $6.79K
- Potential profit
- $6.79K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $231.28
- Potential payout
- $6.7K
- Potential profit
- $6.47K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $4.02K
- User PnL
- -$500
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 21% 1,191.24 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 64.4% 1,164.22 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 33% 1,212.46 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 24% 1,250.04 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 5.2% 1,923.08 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 19.9% 1,005.25 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 64.5% 1,550.95 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 33% 1,516.22 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 23% 1,740.43 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 5% 2,000 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 19.7% 2,531.74 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 64.2% 1,558.41 shares