Polymarket Trader

SanctionedBets

0x274ab38b3338ff197d3170834fbafcc5ddb82246

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $121.65
Realized PnL: $1.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $39.81
Potential payout: $69.23
Potential profit: $29.42
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $19.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $2.95
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.65
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.9
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.67
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.6
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.33
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.63
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $457.47

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.32

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.42

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.14

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 9PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?

Up 39% 5.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

No 63% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?

No 61% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?

No 64% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?

No 50.7% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?

Down 35% 5.71 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 7?

No 70% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 7?

No 71% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?

Down 23% 8.69 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 7?

No 72% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 7?

No 72% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 7?

No 63% 5 shares