Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.55
- Potential profit
- $102.55
- User PnL
- -$20.51
Polymarket Trader
sfaloughi
0x274c7c11bc19139397464068ca342c42de784372
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $112.37
- Realized PnL
- $1.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.1%
- Current value
- $33.74
- Potential payout
- $102.1
- Potential profit
- $68.36
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $78.62
- Potential payout
- $101.45
- Potential profit
- $22.83
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $8.62
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.36
- Potential profit
- $86.36
- User PnL
- -$43
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.87
- Potential profit
- $68.87
- User PnL
- -$42.7
Spurs position
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.18
- Potential profit
- $26.18
- User PnL
- -$18.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.68
- Potential profit
- $16.68
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.83
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.79
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.52
Nuggets position
Lakers vs. Nuggets
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.51
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.78
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.96
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.99
Eagles position
Super Bowl LIX Winner
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.75
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Celtics
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Pacers
Ends Jun 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.06
Yes position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Thunder position
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.82
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Pacers
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Lakers
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.57
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Trump say "Canada" or "Canadian" 15+ times during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Knicks
Ends May 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.84
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Timberwolves
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.16
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Trump say "Biden" during his NATO speech?
Ends Jun 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.83
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6?Up 69% 101.45 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33.3% 102.1 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Yes 20% 102.55 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 62% 68.87 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 93% 1,042.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETDown 59% 16.68 shares
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs 72% 26.18 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?Up 49.8% 86.36 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?Up 75% 42.67 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?Up 78% 173.19 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?Up 67% 173.19 shares
- Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" this week? (April 27 - May 3)No 15.3% 86.1 shares