Polymarket Trader

miiland

0x274e75b55aa3d8ef63e0edf9c9d4846e061e648c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.78K
Realized PnL: $14.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $377.6
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.32K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$59.41

Yes position

Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $673.87
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $446.88

No position

Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $20.91
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $371.2

Yes position

Will Beth Davidson win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by any margin?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $250
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $750
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $170

Yes position

Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $63.28
Potential payout: $878.92
Potential profit: $815.63
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: -$3.87

Yes position

Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $109.69
Potential payout: $457.04
Potential profit: $347.35
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $63.48

Yes position

Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $268.6
Potential payout: $310.52
Potential profit: $41.92
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $61.6

No position

Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $49.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $250.5
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$13.5

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $237.66
Potential payout: $274.75
Potential profit: $37.09
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $30.36

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $236.67
Potential profit: $236.55
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.98

No position

Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $206.94
Potential payout: $228.67
Potential profit: $21.72
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $45.78

Yes position

Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $32
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $168
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$38

No position

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.9%
Current value: $121.24
Potential payout: $192.75
Potential profit: $71.51
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$14.37

No position

Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.6%
Current value: $131.57
Potential payout: $157.38
Potential profit: $25.81
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $6.57

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $110.72
Potential profit: $109.61
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$13.89

No position

Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $74.38
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $10.63
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $11.43

Yes position

Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $12.87
Potential payout: $28.59
Potential profit: $15.72
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $10.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9K

Yes position

Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

No position

Will Ketanji Brown Jackson attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $565.9

No position

Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384

Yes position

Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $380.56

No position

Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.57

Yes position

Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.8

Yes position

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $206.94

No position

Will Sonia Sotomayor attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.16

No position

Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $190.08

No position

Will Ryan Busse be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176

Yes position

Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $170.92

Yes position

Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.74

No position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 42%
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $97.94

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.38

No position

Will Stephanie Bice replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.45

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

No position

Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.26

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $54.03

Yes position

Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54

No position

Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $45.44

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.9

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Yes 5.9% 67.67 shares
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?

Yes 9% 124.51 shares
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Yes 6% 2.5 shares
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Yes 6% 50 shares
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?

Yes 10.5% 332.53 shares
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Yes 7.9% 758.75 shares
Will Beth Davidson win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by any margin?

Yes 8% 1,000 shares
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

No 44% 149.64 shares
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Yes 4.2% 23.58 shares
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Yes 4.2% 23.81 shares
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Yes 4.3% 23.52 shares
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Yes 4.2% 23.81 shares