Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $27.21
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $2.21
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $7.21
Polymarket Trader
0x274EB71Ea51c64F79DA567bde0224018A77E0c57-1721979326417
0x274eb71ea51c64f79da567bde0224018a77e0c57
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.27
- Realized PnL
- $454.7
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.32
- Potential profit
- $25.32
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $20.11
- Potential payout
- $21.51
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $2.46
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.78
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.38
No position
Biden removed via 25th Amendment?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.03
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
No position
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will Ilhan Omar's husband be charged with fraud?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Biden resign before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Michelle Obama be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Trump ineligible to run for President?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ilhan Omar's husband be charged with fraud?No 93% 21.51 shares
- Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No 93% 21.51 shares
- Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?Yes 68% 29.41 shares
- Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?No 77.5% 25.8 shares
- Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?No 96.7% 20.68 shares
- Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?No 94% 21.28 shares
- Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?No 94% 21.28 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No 58% 34.48 shares
- Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?No 91.6% 21.83 shares
- Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No 78% 6.41 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 83.2% 24.04 shares
- Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 77.5% 6.45 shares