Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
duckxiaoliu
0x27532a181591ed991af45142e77d5ed133339ab0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.99
- Realized PnL
- $82.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $251.25
- Potential profit
- $251.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.73
- Potential profit
- $85.73
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $16.99
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $11.09
- Potential payout
- $11.8
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.9
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $10.75
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $9.8
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.89
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.78
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.9
- Potential profit
- $5.9
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.34
- Potential profit
- $5.34
- User PnL
- -$2.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.27
- Potential profit
- $5.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.86
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.72
- Potential profit
- $4.72
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Lakers
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $8.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 28?Yes 5.6% 17.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 26?Yes 71% 1.28 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 12.5% 8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 28% 3.57 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 24% 4.17 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 82% 1.22 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 16.3% 1.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 26?Yes 78% 1.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 26?Yes 94% 1.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?Yes 95% 1.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 26?No 4% 1.17 shares