Polymarket Trader

0x2754...be4b

0x27547efc25d3645615d29fed65f51696dd48be4b

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $8.57
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.19
Potential profit: $32.19
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Yes 0.3% 500 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

No 7.3% 26.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Down 44% 1.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Down 67% 1.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Down 74% 1.34 shares
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Yes 29% 1.66 shares
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Yes 60% 1.67 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 17% 5.55 shares
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?

No 13% 1.31 shares
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?

No 76% 1.32 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

No 39% 2.32 shares