Polymarket Trader

zerosmart

0x275575bb11522eb29f82fe0a601d7c4dc94b5016

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $80.57K
Realized PnL: $1.08M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $22.37K
Potential payout: $52.64K
Potential profit: $30.27K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$4.14K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $30.9K
Potential payout: $31.07K
Potential profit: $170.91
User PnL: $7.15K

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $10.36K
Potential payout: $24.38K
Potential profit: $14.02K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$1.96K

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.22K
Potential profit: $11.22K
User PnL: -$7.4K

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $3.75K
Potential payout: $8.43K
Potential profit: $4.68K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$255.21

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $2.39K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $3.51K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $96.06

No position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $3.83K
Potential payout: $4.53K
Potential profit: $702.85
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $476.12

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.2%
Current value: $3.43K
Potential payout: $4.07K
Potential profit: $643.17
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.96K

Yes position

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $2.99K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $104.55

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Blue wave in 2026?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $671.59
Potential payout: $919.99
Potential profit: $248.4
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $18.8

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $99.43
Potential payout: $361.58
Potential profit: $262.14
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $26.22

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $285.5
Potential payout: $285.5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $102.78

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $78.38
Potential payout: $142.5
Potential profit: $64.13
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $35.75
Potential payout: $123.29
Potential profit: $87.54
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $3.7

No position

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $88.63
Potential payout: $90.16
Potential profit: $1.53
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $22.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.01K

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.89K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.77K

Yes position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.1K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.14K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.41K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.59K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.42K

Yes position

Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.73K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.67K

No position

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.81K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.42K

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.8K

No position

Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.06K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.17K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9K

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04K

Yes position

Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15K

$4000 position

Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12K

No position

Will Ripple hit in $3.00 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73K

Yes position

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7K

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 48% 7,178.28 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 68% 4,085.5 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?

Yes 50% 1,224.09 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 52% 3,658.29 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

No 62.3% 5,174.24 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 51% 1,339.59 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

No 81% 200 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

No 82% 2,905.24 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

No 81% 1,500 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 30% 1,999.96 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

No 24% 1,681.58 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

No 23.2% 16,264.79 shares