No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $578.54
- Potential payout
- $687.1
- Potential profit
- $108.56
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $18.54
Polymarket Trader
0x275cFEe6b4D1Da10CB6eA5B63107589E07D86090-1765830993046
0x275cfee6b4d1da10cb6ea5b63107589e07d86090
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.09K
- Realized PnL
- $4.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $605.49
- Potential payout
- $669.05
- Potential profit
- $63.56
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $43.49
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $597.23
- Potential payout
- $634
- Potential profit
- $36.77
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $64.67
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $558.98
- Potential payout
- $604.3
- Potential profit
- $45.32
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $563.47
- Potential payout
- $597.84
- Potential profit
- $34.38
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $25.38
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $533.9
- Potential payout
- $571.02
- Potential profit
- $37.12
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $18.9
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $311.95
- Potential payout
- $394.87
- Potential profit
- $82.92
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $368.65
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $15.96
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $18.65
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $313.17
- Potential payout
- $330.17
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $285.66
- Potential payout
- $315.64
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $31.55
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $300.48
- Potential payout
- $307.24
- Potential profit
- $6.76
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.48
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $232.29
- Potential payout
- $305.64
- Potential profit
- $73.35
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$3.71
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $188.21
- Potential payout
- $296.39
- Potential profit
- $108.18
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$45.79
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $227.75
- Potential payout
- $290.12
- Potential profit
- $62.38
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$7.25
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $226.99
- Potential payout
- $285.53
- Potential profit
- $58.53
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $9.99
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $269.17
- Potential payout
- $281.71
- Potential profit
- $12.54
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $38.17
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $241.78
- Potential payout
- $279.52
- Potential profit
- $37.73
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $9.78
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $265.57
- Potential payout
- $277.65
- Potential profit
- $12.08
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $29.57
No position
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $262.24
- Potential payout
- $277.5
- Potential profit
- $15.26
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $40.24
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $237.36
- Potential payout
- $271.26
- Potential profit
- $33.91
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $199.14
- Potential payout
- $270.94
- Potential profit
- $71.8
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$10.87
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $240.31
- Potential payout
- $268.5
- Potential profit
- $28.19
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $19.91
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $236.66
- Potential payout
- $267.42
- Potential profit
- $30.75
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $241.38
- Potential payout
- $262.51
- Potential profit
- $21.13
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $595.5
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.14
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.35
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.6
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.8
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.73
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.66
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.73
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.91
No position
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.49
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.09
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.68
No position
Venezuela Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.43
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.59
Yes position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.45
Yes position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.25
No position
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.31
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.45
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.48
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $80.65
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 79% 62.03 shares
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No 88.8% 29.29 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Yes 77.2% 305.64 shares
- Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes 11% 173.7 shares
- Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?No 95.2% 44.1 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No 87% 258.62 shares
- Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 96.4% 85.05 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 89% 267.42 shares
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 82.7% 41.11 shares
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?Yes 97.2% 5.13 shares
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?Yes 86.8% 273.15 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 93% 254.84 shares