Yes position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $16.45
- Potential payout
- $88.94
- Potential profit
- $72.49
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $5.78
Polymarket Trader
Henryfifthofhisname
0x275f647c4a31588e933d5aa5cfbd241e848aec20
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.65
- Realized PnL
- -$30.07
- Win rate
- 14.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38.2%
- Current value
- $10.49
- Potential payout
- $27.47
- Potential profit
- $16.98
- Multiplier
- 2.62x
- User PnL
- -$3.21
N
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $12.6
- Potential profit
- $3.4
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $11.62
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $3.45
- Potential payout
- $4.11
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.44
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$4.64
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.73
No position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$5.2
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$5.58
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 84% 11.62 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 59% 12.6 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 15% 23.87 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 49.9% 27.47 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 13% 35.71 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 26% 30.3 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 26% 30 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Yes 12% 88.94 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes 9% 36.65 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes 10% 5 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes 26% 8 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No 55% 4.11 shares