No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.26K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- User PnL
- $3.39
Polymarket Trader
Gear6Sanji
0x277edea1af0a85ee7b76463c1c9d8866d666b7f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.26K
- Realized PnL
- $249.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.23
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.17
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.43
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.18
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.99
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.85
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.61
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.8% 2,260.35 shares
- Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 1,220.26 shares
- Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.7% 178 shares
- Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.7% 200 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 28.27 shares
- Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 629.28 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?No 99.8% 404.75 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No 99.9% 100 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No 99.9% 1,721.71 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 2,223.92 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 99.8% 2,221.8 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 2,212.86 shares