Polymarket Trader

Endymion

0x278988d52017d32ef3852351580b664bf67996a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $134.71
Realized PnL: $1.02K
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.88K
Potential profit: $9.88K
User PnL: -$790

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $2.34K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $34.16
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$65.84

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $739.73
Potential profit: $739.73
User PnL: -$81.37

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $571.43
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$164.4

Yes position

U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.97
Potential profit: $299.97
User PnL: -$83.99

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100.55
Potential payout: $100.55
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.55

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $765.93

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.14

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.2

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.17

No position

Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.18

Yes position

Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

No position

Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

No position

Will Ethereum hit $2,600.00 again by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

No position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

No position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $2.48

No position

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.08

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$28.97

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?

Yes 99.5% 100.55 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 8.9% 1,120 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 10?

No 41.9% 143.2 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 10?

No 7% 571.43 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 10?

No 1.7% 2,338.94 shares
Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?

Yes 0.4% 8,072.19 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

No 11% 739.73 shares
Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?

Yes 1.1% 7,000 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Yes 8% 9,881.05 shares
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.3% 155 shares
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Yes 8% 400 shares
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?

No 25.6% 310 shares