No position
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.2%
- Current value
- $37.58
- Potential payout
- $83.14
- Potential profit
- $45.56
- Multiplier
- 2.21x
- User PnL
- -$28.6
Polymarket Trader
jeseruya
0x279134252064d6d1c4be234e3f4fbd784d0a2f45
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.58
- Realized PnL
- -$4.23K
- Win rate
- 72.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Rockets
Ends May 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42K
Nuggets position
Clippers vs. Nuggets
Ends May 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Cavaliers position
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Clippers position
Nets vs. Clippers
Ends Jan 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.3
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.74
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.7
Yes position
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Hawks position
Rockets vs. Hawks
Ends Feb 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$122.48
Angels position
Angels vs. Mariners
Ends Sep 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$448.95
Spurs position
Grizzlies vs. Spurs
Ends Jan 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$963.87
Celtics position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.29K
Celtics position
Knicks vs. Celtics
Ends May 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.75K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No 79.6% 83.14 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 81% 66.84 shares
- Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 94.8% 47.88 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 99.8% 50 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 68% 139.82 shares
- Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No 95.8% 19.77 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 95.9% 18.94 shares
- Angels vs. MarinersAngels 39% 1,151.16 shares
- Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No 95.1% 18.17 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?No 97.9% 17.28 shares