Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $198.4
- Potential payout
- $33.07K
- Potential profit
- $32.87K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.03K
Polymarket Trader
0x279586b44E055dfE58BD21Fff9D67A675043Acd0-1763372677832
0x279586b44e055dfe58bd21fff9d67a675043acd0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.13K
- Realized PnL
- $1.73K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $4.85K
- Potential payout
- $24.8K
- Potential profit
- $19.95K
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- -$111.6
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $12.98K
- Potential payout
- $16.53K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $9.67K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $107.47
- Potential payout
- $8.27K
- Potential profit
- $8.16K
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.55K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.13K
- User PnL
- -$75.01
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$14.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.32
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.74
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.4% 8,334 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 78.7% 9,910.24 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.7% 100 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.6% 100 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 4,167 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 12,501 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.6% 9,375.75 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.5% 9,375.75 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 83.5% 6,250.5 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 19% 2,339.99 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 2,083.5 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.5% 1,041.75 shares