Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $188.32
- Potential payout
- $4.77K
- Potential profit
- $4.58K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$91.13
Polymarket Trader
0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715
0x279c5de35108afc30b99f09e595555b428e92b82
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.08K
- Realized PnL
- $13.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $87.32
- Potential payout
- $4.72K
- Potential profit
- $4.63K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$53.03
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $555.56
- Potential payout
- $4.12K
- Potential profit
- $3.56K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$504.87
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $21.28
- Potential payout
- $3.87K
- Potential profit
- $3.85K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$17.66
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $3.2K
- Potential payout
- $3.28K
- Potential profit
- $77.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $722.36
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.01K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $6.42
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$61.81
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $568.29
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $267.78
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $468.04
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $4.81
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $95.22
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $257.66
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $1.35K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $58.29
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $42.85
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.35K
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- User PnL
- $808.64
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$991.17
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $516.2
- Potential payout
- $983.23
- Potential profit
- $467.03
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $105.79
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $969.08
- Potential payout
- $969.57
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- User PnL
- $432.76
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $293.15
- Potential payout
- $888.34
- Potential profit
- $595.19
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $164.23
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $283.84
- Potential payout
- $847.28
- Potential profit
- $563.44
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$252.61
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $842.41
- Potential payout
- $846.22
- Potential profit
- $3.81
- User PnL
- $10.25
Yes position
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $680.24
- Potential payout
- $805.02
- Potential profit
- $124.78
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $183.35
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $40.22
- Potential payout
- $804.38
- Potential profit
- $764.16
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $13.91
No position
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $340.36
- Potential payout
- $709.08
- Potential profit
- $368.72
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$67.17
Yes position
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $71.18
- Potential payout
- $677.87
- Potential profit
- $606.7
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$84.57
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $612.47
- Potential payout
- $676.77
- Potential profit
- $64.29
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $100.7
Yes position
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $493.87
- Potential payout
- $641.4
- Potential profit
- $147.52
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$83.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $994.55
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $861.64
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $777.7
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.91
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.81
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $610.67
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $556.1
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.24
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.45
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.46
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $368.79
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.45
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $287.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.39
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.86
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.58
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.55
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.02
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.61
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 6.5% 60.86 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?Yes 14% 8 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 58% 21.09 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 24% 28.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 24% 28.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 83.6% 19.59 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 59% 17.07 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 72% 17.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 59% 54.49 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 60% 55.45 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?Yes 14% 8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 79% 30.55 shares