Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.97K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
popo6
0x27b1f40fb048eb33f783ff75e3c22296ce4f6151
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $131.88
- Realized PnL
- $3.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $96.88
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $3.86K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$25.7
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $219.8
No position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $161.48
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.12
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.9
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98.63
Yes position
Pavel Durov released in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.31
No position
Pavel Durov released in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.46
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.66
Yes position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.66
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.25
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.26
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.68
Yes position
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.43
Yes position
Yoon arrested by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.34
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.06
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.06
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $6.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 7% 1,806.84 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 18.7% 1,377.65 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 28.8% 6.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 0.1% 10,229.38 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 0.2% 16,021.56 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 25.6% 377.78 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25?Down 28% 46.73 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25?Up 59% 106.65 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 53% 19.32 shares
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No 93.8% 15 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No 13.6% 10 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No 13.7% 10 shares