Polymarket Trader

xoxofox

0x27b6b7c997df3d8bc5b07abc03472674be7477d1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.83
Realized PnL: $19.57
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.06
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.06
Potential profit: $9.06
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.7%
Current value: $6.69
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $1.93
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $1.69

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $6.65
Potential payout: $7.59
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $4.44
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.9%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $4.05
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.15
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.39

No position

Lily Phillips has sex with 1000+ men in a day?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will Amazon buy TikTok?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will TikTok be banned again before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the next Pope be from Africa?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Trump out as President in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

GPT ads by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Maduro mugshot released by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

ETH position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.4% 9.62 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 83.1% 2.41 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 33.1% 9.06 shares
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?

No 87.2% 2.29 shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 79% 7.59 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 58% 8.62 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 58% 5.17 shares
AI bubble burst in 2026?

No 74.1% 4.05 shares
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

No 78% 2.56 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 87% 2.3 shares
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

No 73% 4.11 shares
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

No 90% 2.22 shares