Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.25
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Polymarket Trader
0x27c1...4dbe
0x27c1ea787b4287506b67f6f3d99668386b134dbe
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $28.89
- Realized PnL
- $3.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5.08
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $5.08
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $5.08
- Potential profit
- $4.59
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- -$4.59
No position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $5.08
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
DFX Peek position
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $4.98
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
No position
Will Democratic National Rally (RND) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $4.88
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.02
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $4.84
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will no qualifying event occur on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Alabama Crimson Tide position
Missouri Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will France win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Jara win by at least 15%?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will another person win the first round?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 5PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?No 99.9% 4.84 shares
- Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 4?No 99.7% 4.84 shares
- Will Democratic National Rally (RND) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?No 98.9% 4.88 shares
- Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?No 99.8% 4.83 shares
- Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No 99.8% 4.83 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?No 99.9% 4.82 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?No 99.5% 4.87 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on June 19, 2026?No 99.9% 4.89 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 97.9% 5.01 shares
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%?No 96.7% 5.06 shares
- Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group CDFX Peek 99% 4.98 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 99.9% 4.93 shares