Polymarket Trader

0x27c9...65f9

0x27c936074a4356133c9ba604ce9fd890931f65f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $0.76
Realized PnL: $47.63
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $128.21
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump out as President by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on May 8, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.45
Potential profit: $78.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.87
Potential profit: $70.87
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.3
Potential profit: $69.3
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

James Comey charges dropped by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $42.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.25
Potential profit: $26.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

NATO Article 5 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.63
Potential profit: $25.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.22
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.64
Potential profit: $22.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.38
Potential profit: $21.38
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $16.32
Potential profit: $15.85
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.02
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.06

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $9.64

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Up position

Silver (SI) Up or Down on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Trump say "N Word" in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.23

Down position

Silver (SI) Up or Down on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will South Africa win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be at least 43.0 on January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Yes 4.4% 22.64 shares
Trump out as President by May 31?

Yes 1% 100 shares
James Comey charges dropped by May 31?

Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on May 8, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 83.33 shares
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?

Yes 3.8% 26.25 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 62.8% 16.94 shares
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?

Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?

Yes 2.4% 42.55 shares
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?

Yes 6.6% 15.15 shares
US x China Military clash before 2027?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 4.3% 23.26 shares
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Yes 2% 50 shares