Polymarket Trader

0x27cb2078d4383a043c818650dad913e876E83007-1783262859396

0x27cb2078d4383a043c818650dad913e876e83007

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $69.65
Realized PnL: $44.93
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $9.8
Potential payout: $47.83
Potential profit: $38.02
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $5.97
Potential payout: $17.82
Potential profit: $11.85
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$5.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 66.7%
Current value: $10.4
Potential payout: $15.6
Potential profit: $5.19
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $9.72
Potential payout: $14.3
Potential profit: $4.57
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$0.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $6.66
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $5.34
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $5.99
Potential payout: $11.42
Potential profit: $5.42
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $9.04
Potential profit: $7.42
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $7.34
Potential payout: $8.39
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $5.51
Potential payout: $6.3
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $3.94
Potential payout: $6.11
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.08

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $3.06
User PnL: -$1.59

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $3.05
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.05
Potential profit: $3.05
User PnL: -$1.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$1.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 72.4%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $2.03
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.03
Potential profit: $2.03
User PnL: -$1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Bitcoin above 61,600 on July 8, 10AM ET?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Down 1% 3.05 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Up 97.9% 3.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Down 59% 3.05 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Up 55% 3.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Down 99% 2.02 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Up 52% 3.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Down 69% 2.03 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 9?

No 65.7% 6.11 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Up 99% 3.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Up 98% 2.02 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 9?

No 71.8% 2.03 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?

No 65.4% 15.6 shares