Polymarket Trader

Adriandt99

0x27da7fa22aa2704ac3c1ba77233d86956e31d24a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $166.29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump announce Chamath Palihapitiya as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "Iran" 4+ times during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Eminem be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 19-25?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $3.51K
User PnL: -$3.51

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets in December 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Alcaraz position

ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.95

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.15

Djokovic position

Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmann

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43

Yes position

Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34

Alcaraz position

ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.55

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.54

Yes position

Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.26

Yes position

Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Yes position

Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09

Yes position

Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85

Yes position

Will SD Huesca win on 2025-10-28?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 98.3% 4.07 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

18.7% 5.19 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

18.5% 5.24 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

No 2.7% 100 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 1.4% 200 shares
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

No 8.4% 34.77 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 1% 160 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?

No 2.9% 109.99 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 6.2% 100 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 98.1% 20 shares
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

No 11% 50 shares
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 90.7% 50 shares