SAIYINGPUN

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.02
Potential profit: $19.02
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5
Potential profit: $10.5
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $8.75
Potential profit: $8.61
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$3.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.4
Potential profit: $8.4
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $6.91
Potential profit: $5.39
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $6.89
Potential profit: $4.68
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $6.18
Potential profit: $4.29
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $6.05
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $4.38
Potential profit: $2.03
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2
Potential profit: $4.2
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.04
Potential profit: $4.04
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $2.42
Potential payout: $4.04
Potential profit: $1.62
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $3.39
Potential profit: $2.81
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.18
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.09
Potential profit: $3.09
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $2.76
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $2.69
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 30?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $1.34
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.54

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.61

No position

Will UK strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.46

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.13

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.9

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Will France strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.7

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.05

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.13

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET