Polymarket Trader

0x27de...b51c

0x27deb4e34a1e51ab5cc40764076477aad6d1b51c

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $34.72
Realized PnL: $6.11
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $9
User PnL: -$5.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.02
Potential profit: $8.02
User PnL: -$4.81

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.88
Potential profit: $7.88
User PnL: -$5.67

No position

Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.74
Potential profit: $5.74
User PnL: -$5.71

UNLV Runnin Rebels position

UT Martin Skyhawks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.7
Potential profit: $4.7
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.59
Potential profit: $4.59
User PnL: -$4.48

Yes position

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $4.57
Potential profit: $3.96
Multiplier: 7.52x
User PnL: -$3.95

No position

Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 85.7%
Current value: $3.91
Potential payout: $4.56
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.65

No position

Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $4.56
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 91.6%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $4.56
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $4.41
Potential payout: $4.56
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $4.46
Potential payout: $4.56
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $4.41
Potential payout: $4.56
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $4.36
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.29
Potential profit: $4.29
User PnL: -$4.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

Down position

XRP Up or Down - November 4, 4PM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Saint Louis Billikens position

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Saint Louis Billikens

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Down position

XRP Up or Down - November 4, 1PM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Seattle Redhawks position

Oregon State Beavers vs. Seattle Redhawks

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Marquette Golden Eagles position

Southern Jaguars vs. Marquette Golden Eagles

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Ismaily SC win on 2026-05-07?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Jeannette Jara win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

No 98.6% 4.36 shares
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?

No 99.9% 4.41 shares
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on June 18?

Yes 99.9% 4.41 shares
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?

No 99.9% 4.4 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.6% 4.42 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

No 99.8% 4.41 shares
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?

No 99.8% 4.41 shares
Will Lionel Messi attend UFC Freedom 250?

No 99.4% 4.43 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

No 98.4% 4.46 shares
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?

No 99% 4.43 shares
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 10?

Up 99.9% 4.4 shares
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% or less in May?

No 99.9% 4.4 shares