Polymarket Trader

0x27E451f0d932C57bF0c8bC483BDFE2300649ff39-1763984926486

0x27e451f0d932c57bf0c8bc483bdfe2300649ff39

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.91
Realized PnL: $3.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.55K
Potential profit: $5.55K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.63K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.13K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.91K
User PnL: -$21.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$99.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $904.19
Potential profit: $904.19
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $738.73
Potential profit: $738.73
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $720.49
Potential profit: $720.49
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $719.59
Potential profit: $719.59
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $668.29
Potential profit: $668.29
User PnL: -$298

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $623.87
Potential profit: $623.87
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $576.93
Potential profit: $576.93
User PnL: -$24.76

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $46.91
Potential payout: $551.92
Potential profit: $505.01
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$240.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $502.4
Potential profit: $502.4
User PnL: -$16.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.33

Yes position

Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.78

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tech signing event on Wednesday?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.03

Yes position

Will US Catanzaro 1929 win on 2025-12-08?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.25

Yes position

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.25

Yes position

Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-12-06?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.06

Yes position

Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2025-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.13

Yes position

Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-12?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.05

Yes position

Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.94

Yes position

Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2025-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.64

Yan position

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.7

Up position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.58

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.17

No position

Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.81

Yes position

Will Exeter City FC win on 2025-12-06?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.15

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.56

No position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.71

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.34

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $45.73

Yes position

Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

No 61% 144.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Yes 36.6% 141.7 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Yes 8.1% 447.58 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 52% 551.92 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 41% 487.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Up 58% 83.65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 1,091.68 shares
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-04?

Yes 19% 263.16 shares
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tech signing event on Wednesday?

Yes 18.3% 273.42 shares
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?

Yes 12% 416.67 shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 24% 345.83 shares
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?

Yes 15% 333.33 shares