No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Current value
- $95.75
- Potential payout
- $818.38
- Potential profit
- $722.63
- Multiplier
- 8.55x
- User PnL
- $45.75
Polymarket Trader
comingon
0x27facedf9353ab195ac05fdfe45218728f59d880
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $95.75
- Realized PnL
- $499.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.29
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.75
Yes position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.48
No position
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $1.5b and $2b on Feb 21?
Ends Feb 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Andrew Tate tweet 130-139 times Jan 10-17?
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will Elon tweet 450-499 times Jan 10-17?
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Ripple above $2.20 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
No position
Solana above $190 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Will Solana dip to $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.17
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
No position
Espresso FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.71
No position
Will Solana reach $300 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
Yes position
Will Solana reach $185 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.44
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42
No position
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?No 6.1% 818.38 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 69% 50 shares
- Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No 69% 50 shares
- Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Yes 24% 50 shares
- Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No 37% 200 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 6% 200 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 20% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 85% 344.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 87% 344.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 99.4% 336.49 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 83% 481.93 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 89.2% 336.5 shares