Polymarket Trader

waxbang

0x280143c12c70cf810ba728c87e70ae16c35cebdc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $69.71
Realized PnL: $1.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.44
Potential profit: $99.44
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.24
Potential profit: $61.24
User PnL: -$44.71

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.91
Potential profit: $55.91
User PnL: -$41.33

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.36
Potential profit: $47.36
User PnL: -$20.84

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.64
Potential profit: $46.64
User PnL: -$33.7

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.3
Potential profit: $46.3
User PnL: -$25

Taylor Fritz position

Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$25

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $15.21
Potential payout: $42.85
Potential profit: $27.64
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $39.22
User PnL: -$13.16

United States position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.72
Potential profit: $37.72
User PnL: -$19.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.54
Potential profit: $33.54
User PnL: -$24.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.46
Potential profit: $28.46
User PnL: -$19.74

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.19
Potential profit: $28.19
User PnL: -$23.68

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $16.69
Potential payout: $26.92
Potential profit: $10.23
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$0.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.74
Potential profit: $26.74
User PnL: -$14.97

Down position

XRP Up or Down - July 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.35
Potential profit: $26.35
User PnL: -$14.49

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $19.88
Potential payout: $25.32
Potential profit: $5.44
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.13

Felix Auger-Aliassime position

Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.38
Potential profit: $24.38
User PnL: -$18.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.07
Potential profit: $24.07
User PnL: -$17.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $17.93
Potential payout: $23.75
Potential profit: $5.82
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.97

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.51
Potential profit: $23.51
User PnL: -$17.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.43
Potential profit: $23.43
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.13
Potential profit: $22.13
User PnL: -$15.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-08?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.46

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.09

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.16

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.53

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.51

Yes position

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.04

Yes position

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.94

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.06

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.01

No position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.78

Houston Astros position

Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.27

Ducks position

Oilers vs. Ducks

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.08

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Lightning

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.84

Over position

Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.12

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.19

Cincinnati Reds position

Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.85

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.61

BNK FEARX position

LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Up 45% 15.91 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Up 65% 37.4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Up 64% 24.3 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Up 84% 29.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Up 45.7% 16.84 shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

No 78% 5.48 shares
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

No 74% 5.49 shares
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

No 89.2% 4.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9PM ET

Up 82% 5 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 54% 7.06 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

No 81% 4.28 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12?

No 97.3% 0.49 shares