No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.88
- Potential profit
- $159.88
- User PnL
- -$48.79
Polymarket Trader
chenhanxin4
0x28177808a2d1e732e0b1f0f048a7f49079161fc4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $196
- Realized PnL
- $260.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$13.2
Nuggets position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$48.95
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$29
No position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $42.51
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Current value
- $38.75
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $37.11
- Potential payout
- $37.6
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $31.93
- Potential payout
- $32.67
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $24.83
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $20.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
Yes position
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.71
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.92
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.47
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 96% 32 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 11% 120 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97.7% 33 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 91.4% 40 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14?Yes 99.9% 53 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 84.7% 3.31 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 45% 66 shares
- Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.3% 33 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?Yes 45.8% 88.7 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?Yes 63.2% 88.7 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?Yes 48% 60.24 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?Yes 57.4% 10 shares