Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
StanleyGao
0x281804c977ff853fd01e2d019d9b029ae2175369
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.77K
- Realized PnL
- $935.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $778.73
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $273.61
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $7.23
No position
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $458.75
- Potential payout
- $540.02
- Potential profit
- $81.27
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $41.49
- Potential payout
- $483
- Potential profit
- $441.51
- Multiplier
- 11.64x
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $59.62
- Potential payout
- $476.97
- Potential profit
- $417.35
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.46
No position
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $364.49
- Potential payout
- $385.3
- Potential profit
- $20.81
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $66.49
No position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $55.41
- Potential payout
- $369.41
- Potential profit
- $314
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.39
Yes position
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $13.59
- Potential payout
- $251.74
- Potential profit
- $238.15
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $156.25
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.74
- Potential profit
- $151.74
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.38
- Potential profit
- $118.38
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $117.89
- Potential profit
- $117.48
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$22.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.37
- Potential profit
- $115.37
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.1
- Potential profit
- $103.1
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $101.44
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$39.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.93
- Potential profit
- $72.93
- User PnL
- -$72.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.26
No position
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $70.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 1?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 34°F or higher on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 53°F or below on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C or below on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 68°F or higher on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C or higher on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C or higher on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 70% 199.99 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 69% 48.59 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 68% 191.16 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 74.5% 400.1 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 80% 212.5 shares
- Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?No 78% 132.05 shares
- Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?No 17% 104.71 shares
- Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?No 51.3% 28 shares
- Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?No 69% 28 shares
- Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in June?Yes 12.3% 16.46 shares
- Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in June?Yes 9.8% 50 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?Yes 19.3% 117.89 shares