Polymarket Trader

Griff-NZ

0x281883bee52b3b788ee33de3304c04e0305304a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $326.94
Realized PnL: $3.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.59K
User PnL: -$800

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $97.81
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $931.78
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$452.19

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $636.45
Potential profit: $636.45
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $503.79
Potential profit: $503.79
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $459.83
Potential profit: $459.83
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $437.04
Potential profit: $437.04
User PnL: -$249.11

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $28.33
Potential payout: $435.82
Potential profit: $407.49
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$171.67

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $381.58
Potential profit: $381.58
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348.07
Potential profit: $348.07
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $292.4
Potential profit: $292.4
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 35.1%
Current value: $94.92
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $175.35
Multiplier: 2.85x
User PnL: -$5.08

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.56
Potential profit: $232.56
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $128.21
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $123.46
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $38.07
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $75.57
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$11.93

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.94
Potential profit: $102.94
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.46
Potential profit: $93.46
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $84.75
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $67.81
Potential payout: $71.61
Potential profit: $3.8
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $32.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.74

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336.67

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.96

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.67

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.12

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.76

Thunder position

Nuggets vs. Thunder

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.36

Daniil Medvedev position

Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.64

Israel position

First Round Pool D: Israel vs. Nicaragua

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.14

Robin Bertrand position

Hersonissos 2: Robin Bertrand vs Alex Rybakov

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.92

Learner Tien position

BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.98

England position

T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistan

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.98

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.33

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Warriors

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.96

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.87

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.87

LYON position

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.18

Tom Gentzsch position

Hersonissos 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Jacopo Berrettini

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.99

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.02

Thailand position

T20 Thailand Open: Thailand vs Bhutan

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.1

ex-RUBY position

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffs

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.69

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.55

Tamara Zidansek position

Antalya 3: Veronika Erjavec vs Tamara Zidansek

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.14

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 37% 270.27 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 43% 232.56 shares
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 59% 84.75 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 44% 113.64 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?

18.9% 516.51 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57% 263.16 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 22.7% 219.78 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57% 173.88 shares
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

15.4% 316.63 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 63% 158.73 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 61% 327.87 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 24% 416.67 shares