Polymarket Trader

TheImpasse

0x2824ab453e1bcc26d7fc44fcbf58d07cb8e2a954

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.83K
Realized PnL: $26.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $29.96K
Potential payout: $33.1K
Potential profit: $3.14K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $845.59

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $730.67
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.02K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$91.75

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $143.38
Potential payout: $775
Potential profit: $631.63
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$27.13

No position

Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $501.98
Potential profit: $501.98
User PnL: -$93.43

No position

Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $422
Potential profit: $422
User PnL: -$185.68

No position

Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386
Potential profit: $386
User PnL: -$140.75

No position

Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112
Potential profit: $112
User PnL: -$78.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Robert Irwin & Witney Carson win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9K

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96K

Yes position

Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81K

Yes position

Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27K

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74K

No position

Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

No position

Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $806.9

No position

Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $715.55

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.41

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.01

No position

Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.21

No position

Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.33

No position

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.82

Yes position

Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.12

No position

Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.55

No position

Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.35

No position

Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 20% 96 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 22% 5 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 22% 5 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 22% 307 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 22% 70 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 22% 50 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 22% 2,316 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 22% 173 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 22% 1,042 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 22% 458 shares
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Yes 11.9% 269.97 shares
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Yes 10.4% 251.47 shares