No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $3.14K
- Potential payout
- $3.67K
- Potential profit
- $532.42
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $16.3
Polymarket Trader
0x282E29ba8b717C9941f49e40d6cd7970aeE4e8e6-1775340610819
0x282e29ba8b717c9941f49e40d6cd7970aee4e8e6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.75K
- Realized PnL
- $1.16K
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Ends Aug 10, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $188.11
- Potential payout
- $3.24K
- Potential profit
- $3.06K
- Multiplier
- 17.24x
- User PnL
- -$201.89
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $156.31
- Potential payout
- $453.22
- Potential profit
- $296.9
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$43.69
No position
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $267.06
- Potential payout
- $340.21
- Potential profit
- $73.14
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$60.94
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$5.12
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $23.82
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.33
- Potential profit
- $5.33
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $476.61
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.61
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $98.94
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $62.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.6
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.29
No position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.12
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.64
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
No position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Ends Aug 10, 2028- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.07
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 86% 12 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 86% 50 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 85% 251.98 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 96.6% 504.71 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 85.8% 3,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 97.1% 92.54 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 88.9% 304.6 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 83% 325.88 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 88.9% 231 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 84% 244.71 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 88.9% 469.49 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 85% 490 shares