lizongsheng66

Implied probability: 62.8%
Current value: $125.05
Potential payout: $199
Potential profit: $73.95
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$36.14

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $8.32
Potential payout: $198
Potential profit: $189.68
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$38.22

No position

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $135
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $40.5

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $26.04
Potential payout: $127
Potential profit: $100.97
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$56.29

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $65.4
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $54.6
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$31.8

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $61.41

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.74
Potential profit: $82.74
User PnL: -$44.32

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.1%
Current value: $14.52
Potential payout: $63
Potential profit: $48.48
Multiplier: 4.34x
User PnL: -$30.84

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $27.9
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $32.1
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$18.9

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $44.84
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $4.16
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $12.89

No position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.75
Potential profit: $37.75
User PnL: -$5.66

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.99
Potential profit: $36.99
User PnL: -$28.86

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $25.58
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $5.43
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $14.11

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.38
Potential payout: $29.38
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.73

Yes position

Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$3.24

Yes position

Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$9.49

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $11.25
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.3
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $9
User PnL: -$3.86

No position

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.78
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.67

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.02

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.15

No position

US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.47

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.24

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.07

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.64

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.55

Jets position

Jets vs. Blackhawks

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.58

No position

Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.24

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.34

No position

Will France strike Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.16

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.72

No position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.54

No position

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.71

No position

Will UK strike Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.71

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.76

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.57

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.55

No position

Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.55

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.38

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.15

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?