No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $18.69K
- Potential payout
- $42.97K
- Potential profit
- $24.28K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $558.87
Polymarket Trader
0x2858Ae37256feA3b5f14b18181F0C5e0AbD55964-1769017480720
0x2858ae37256fea3b5f14b18181f0c5e0abd55964
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.67K
- Realized PnL
- $4.94K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.98K
- Potential payout
- $6.4K
- Potential profit
- $416.05
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $193.44
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.23K
- Potential payout
- $6.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$225.45
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $2.91K
- Potential payout
- $2.96K
- Potential profit
- $47.38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $210.4
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $246.69
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $120.51
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $129.49
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $144.74
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- User PnL
- $69.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03K
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $736.81
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.74
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.17
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$482.4
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.26K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 21.5% 9,010.18 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 91% 9,010.19 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 44% 77.6 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 43.7% 211.1 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 43.7% 35,208.49 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 35% 7,475.94 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 72% 9,838.58 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 82% 8,636.94 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 69% 4,024.9 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 69% 6,186 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 98.3% 577.87 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 83% 7,800 shares