Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.98
- Potential profit
- $115.98
- User PnL
- -$3.79
Polymarket Trader
SaucePolly1
0x2869efa18cb55b1d8e9a5a607b90f33044bb527d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $239.2
- Realized PnL
- $2.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.99
- Potential profit
- $90.99
- User PnL
- -$4.43
Yes position
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Current value
- $10.39
- Potential payout
- $88.8
- Potential profit
- $78.41
- Multiplier
- 8.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.89
- Potential profit
- $87.89
- User PnL
- -$36.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.06
- Potential profit
- $77.06
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$2.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $66
- User PnL
- -$31.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C or below on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $64
- User PnL
- -$60.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.12
- Potential profit
- $61.12
- User PnL
- -$2.15
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $60.49
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $7.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $59.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.07
No position
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $59.97
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $5.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $59.99
- User PnL
- -$55.19
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $59.98
- Potential profit
- $51.88
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.16
- Potential profit
- $59.16
- User PnL
- -$12.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $59
- User PnL
- -$5.48
No position
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $51.05
- Potential payout
- $57.07
- Potential profit
- $6.02
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $16.81
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $54.65
- Potential profit
- $53.58
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$16.83
Yes position
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $6.77
- Potential payout
- $54.18
- Potential profit
- $47.41
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $54.14
- Potential profit
- $50.92
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $37.99
- Potential payout
- $53.13
- Potential profit
- $15.14
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $8.02
Yes position
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $52.87
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.11
- Potential profit
- $52.11
- User PnL
- -$15.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Pacers position
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $272.86
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $118.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $75.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $75.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.3
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 23?No 95.9% 50 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 20?Yes 96% 52 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 16?Yes 96% 52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?No 96.4% 50 shares
- Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on June 11?No 95.5% 52 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?Yes 97.9% 400 shares
- Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?No 97.6% 20 shares
- Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 80% 30 shares
- Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No 99.1% 5.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 20?No 92.7% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?No 94% 53 shares