Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $65.75
- Potential payout
- $315.35
- Potential profit
- $249.6
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $42.25
Polymarket Trader
0x28746f4e3D8bE4fc1e46Ba26D5b4E1fDa1Da4736-1770724968341
0x28746f4e3d8be4fc1e46ba26d5b4e1fda1da4736
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $65.75
- Realized PnL
- $252.84
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $128.21
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.78
- Potential profit
- $48.78
- User PnL
- -$20
Rico position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.68
- Potential profit
- $20.68
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.86
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
Usyk position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.08
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.79
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 17.4% 355.6 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.5% 670.95 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 26% 80.64 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 31% 23.25 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 43% 23.26 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 62% 80.65 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 77% 79.36 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes 18% 102.38 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?Yes 20% 20 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Yes 65% 8.19 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Yes 61% 8.2 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes 14% 35.71 shares